Hawaii is a small target in the massive Pacific Ocean, but scientists are nevertheless impressed that the islands escaped a record-breaking cyclone season unscathed.
To illustrate just how lucky the Aloha State has been, the National Weather Service released the below image, which combines the infrared imagery of 15 tropical cyclones in the Central North Pacific Basin this year.
“Any island can be hit,” the U.S. National Weather Service Honolulu and Central Pacific Hurricane Center posted on Facebook, “we have just been very lucky this year. In the words of our Science and Operations Officer, Robert Ballard, it’s not ‘if’, it’s ‘when.’”
A stronger-than-usual El Niño is reportedly responsible for the record-breaking cyclone season. El Niño — a weather phenomenon that happens when sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean are warmer than usual — can wreak havoc on seasonal weather patterns across the globe, including floods in the Americas, droughts in Asia and Australia, disrupted fishing, and disease outbreaks.
California, for example, is preparing for a big snow season thanks to the weather pattern, whileIndonesia has already seen massive forest fires from the drought conditions.
According to the Los Angeles Times, El Niño’s effects are so far-reaching that “some researchers argue it doubles the risk of war in much of the Third World.”
And this year’s El Niño hasn’t peaked yet. The phenomenom “will strengthen slightly before the end of the year,” according to the World Meteorological Organization, and may persist until spring.
Which means that while some impacts — like Hawaii’s many, many near-misses — are already evident, we’ve yet to see the full effects of this El Niño.
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