The state is expected to see the largest drop in high school graduates in the nation.

Waiʻanae Grads Go Big, But Hawaiʻi Celebrations Could Soon Shrink

The state is expected to see the largest drop in high school graduates in the nation.

The Waiʻanae Mountain Range rises behind Waiʻanae High School seniors in cap and gown as they enter their commencement ceremony Friday, May 22, 2026, in Waiʻanae. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)
The setting sunlight breaks through clouds and lands on a small portion of Waiʻanae High School graduates as they enter their commencement ceremony Friday. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)

Graduation season is officially underway in Hawaiʻi. 

By the end of the month, roughly 11,000 students from 47 public schools will cross the stage and receive their diplomas. Ceremonies began last Saturday and will continue until May 27.

Waiʻanae High School’s ceremony, held near sunset on a pristine football field with views of both the ocean and the Waiʻanae mountains, was both solemn and jubilant.

Waiʻanae High School seniors laugh and pose for friends and ʻohana in the stands for their commencement ceremony Friday, May 22, 2026, in Waiʻanae. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)
Waiʻanae High School seniors laugh and pose for pictures as they enter the Raymond Torii Stadium. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)

There ceremony started with the blowing of pū — conch shells — and students stood for the Star-Spangled Banner and Hawaiʻi Pono‘ī, which had been the anthem of the Hawaiian Kingdom and is now the state anthem.

After the ceremony, families and friends showered graduates with lei and gifts.

Waiʻanae High School senior Kawehi Windham waves to ʻohana and friends before the commencement ceremony Friday, May 22, 2026, in Waiʻanae. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)
Waiʻanae High School senior Kawehi Windham waves to ʻohana and friends before the processional of Pomp and Circumstance. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)
Pū, blowing of the conch shell, begins the Waiʻanae High School commencement ceremony Friday, May 22, 2026, in Waiʻanae. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)
The ceremony started wth the blowing of pū — conch shells. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)

Last spring, the education department graduated its largest high school class in at least eight years, with nearly 11,900 students earning their diplomas or certificates of completion. 

But projections show numbers could drop in the near future, with Hawaiʻi expected to see the largest drop in high school graduates in the nation. Today’s three-year-olds — the future class of 2041 — are projected to graduate in a class of roughly 7,600 public school students. That’s a 33% drop in graduates since 2023, according to the Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education

The nation as a whole is expected to see a 10% decline in high school graduates, according to the commission. 

Waiʻanae High School seniors stand as they enter their commencement ceremony Friday, May 22, 2026, in Waiʻanae. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)
Waiʻanae High School seniors stand for the National Anthem and Hawaiʻi Pono‘ī. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)

Hawaiʻi schools are grappling with shrinking enrollment amid declining birth rates and more families with young children moving out of state. Lawmakers recently passed a bill that would require the Hawaiʻi Department of Education to close and consolidate small schools beginning in 2029 if recommended by an independent commission. 

Waiʻanae High School graduates walk off Raymond Torii Field after their commencement ceremony Friday, May 22, 2026, in Waiʻanae. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)
Graduates walk off Raymond Torii Field after their commencement ceremony Friday in Waiʻanae. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)

Three public schools – Niʻihau High and Elementary, Ke Kula ʻO ʻEhunuikaimalino on the Big Island and the Hawaiʻi School for the Deaf and the Blind in Honolulu – enrolled fewer than 10 seniors at the start of the year. 

On the other end of the spectrum, Campbell High School in ʻEwa Beach had the state’s largest senior class of 765 students this year, followed by Mililani High School and Waipahu High School. 

Waiʻanae High School graduate Shaiden Pham hugs a friend after their commencement ceremony Friday, May 22, 2026, in Waiʻanae. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)
Waiʻanae High School graduate Shaiden Pham hugs a friend after their commencement ceremony. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)
ʻOhana hold up Waiʻanae High School graduates locations after the commencement ceremony Friday, May 22, 2026, in Waiʻanae. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)
Signs help friends and ʻohana find Waiʻanae High School graduates Friday after the commencement ceremony. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)

Some urban Honolulu high schools have seen significant drops in their enrollment in recent years. McKinley High School’s total enrollment fell by 28% between 2017 and 2025, while Kaimukī High School’s population dropped by 24% in the same time frame. 

It’s easy to find Waiʻanae High School graduate Felicia-Marie Romualdo-Vakameilalo after her commencement ceremony Friday, May 22, 2026, in Waiʻanae. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)
Waiʻanae High School graduate Felicia-Marie Romualdo-Vakameilalo was easy to find. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)
Anyone seen Waiʻanae High School graduate Melissa Taira? She gets buried under lei and gifts after her commencement ceremony Friday, May 22, 2026, in Waiʻanae. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)
It was hard to find graduate Melissa Taira under her lei and gifts Friday in Waiʻanae. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)

In recent years, Hawaiʻi has graduated more students earning college credits and receiving honors in their career preparation programs while in high school. 

At Waiʻanae High School, nearly three-quarters of the graduating class completed a series of career preparation courses last year. The high school offers programs ranging from culinary arts and digital design to automotive maintenance and robotics.  

ʻOhana and friends give Waiʻanae High School graduate Kiare Ibarra a shout out after the commencement ceremony Friday, May 22, 2026, in Waiʻanae. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)
ʻOhana and friends celebrate Kiare Ibarra’s graduation from Waiʻanae High School. (Kevin Fujii/Civil Beat/2026)

Civil Beat’s education reporting is supported by a grant from Chamberlin Family Philanthropy.

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