Abercrombie 50, Aiona 1
Neil Abercrombie won every House district in the state in his blowout victory Tuesday, except for one: James “Duke” Aiona‘s hometown.
Civil Beat’s geographical analysis of the election results — 242 precinct reports and 109 separate sets of absentee ballot data — shows that Abercrombie’s 17-point win wasn’t limited to a particular region, though there were areas of relative strength and weakness.
In addition to Aiona’s 52.3 to 47.1 percent win in the 40th District — Royal Kunia, Makakilo, Kalaeloa and his home in Kapolei — the lieutenant governor came close in two other districts and could end up ahead when final vote results are certified. Abercrombie won District 43 (Ewa Beach) and District 46 (North Shore) by just three votes apiece. More than 14,000 votes were cast for governor candidates in those two districts combined.
In general, the neighbor islands were friendlier to Abercrombie than Oahu was — counterintuitive both because the reverse was true in his primary fight against former Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann and because Abercrombie represented Honolulu for 20 years in Congress.
Abercrombie earned 61.4 percent of votes in Hawaii County [pdf], 60.3 percent in Maui County [pdf], 58.9 percent in Kauai County [pdf] and 56.6 percent in the City and County of Honolulu [pdf]. Six of the seven most successful districts for Abercrombie are on neighbor islands. The following chart is sorted from highest Abercrombie percentage to lowest.
District-by-District Results in the Governor Election
| District | County | Region | Abercrombie | Aiona |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hawaii | Puna, Kau, S. Kona, N. Kona | 67.3% | 31.7% |
| 13 | Maui | Kahoolawe, Lanai, Molokai, Hana | 66.3% | 32.5% |
| 4 | Hawaii | Puna, Pahoa, Kalapana | 66% | 32.6% |
| 9 | Maui | Kahului, Wailuku, Paia | 65.7% | 33.6% |
| 29 | Honolulu | Sand Island, Mokauea, Kapalama | 65.3% | 34.3% |
| 3 | Hawaii | S. Hilo, Puna, Keaau | 65% | 34.2% |
| 1 | Hawaii | Kohala, Hamakua, Hilo | 64.9% | 34.3% |
| 22 | Honolulu | Moiliili, McCully, Kaimuki | 64.7% | 34.7% |
| 20 | Honolulu | St. Louis, Palolo, Wilhelmina Rise | 64.5% | 35.1% |
| 24 | Honolulu | Manoa, Manoa Valley, University | 64.3% | 35.3% |
| 2 | Hawaii | S. Hilo, Kaumana, Keaukaha | 63.8% | 35.6% |
| 21 | Honolulu | Kaimuki, Waikiki, Diamond Head | 61.8% | 37.5% |
| 26 | Honolulu | Pacific Heights, Pauoa, Punchbowl | 61.3% | 38.2% |
| 35 | Honolulu | Pearl City, Waipahu | 61.2% | 38.3% |
| 30 | Honolulu | Kalihi Valley, Fort Shafter | 61.1% | 38.4% |
| 25 | Honolulu | Tantalus, Makiki, McCully | 61.1% | 38.2% |
| 8 | Maui | Wailuku, Waihee, Waikapu | 61.1% | 38.1% |
| 12 | Maui | Makawao, Olinda, Pulehu, Kula | 60.8% | 38.2% |
| 14 | Kauai | Hanalei, Kapaa, Waipouli | 60.4% | 38.7% |
| 34 | Honolulu | Newtown, Waiau, Pearl City, Waimalu | 59.9% | 39.6% |
| 36 | Honolulu | Pearl City, Momilani, Pacific Palisades | 59.9% | 39.4% |
| 27 | Honolulu | Nuuanu, Puunui, Liliha, Alewa Heights | 59.9% | 39.7% |
| 15 | Kauai | Lihue, Koloa | 59.6% | 39.8% |
| 16 | Kauai | Niihau, Lehua, Koloa, Waimea | 59.5% | 40% |
| 48 | Honolulu | Heeia, Haiku Valley, Kaneohe | 58.5% | 40.9% |
| 42 | Honolulu | Waipahu, Honouliuli, West Loch, Ewa | 58.4% | 41.1% |
| 31 | Honolulu | Moanalua Valley, Moanalua, Salt Lake | 58.2% | 41.3% |
| 33 | Honolulu | Aiea, Halawa, Aiea Heights | 57.4% | 42.2% |
| 28 | Honolulu | Palama, Downtown, Chinatown | 57.3% | 41.9% |
| 39 | Honolulu | Wahiawa, Whitmore Village, Poamoho | 57% | 42% |
| 51 | Honolulu | Lanikai, Waimanalo | 56.7% | 42.8% |
| 19 | Honolulu | Waialae, Diamond Head, Kahala | 56.4% | 43.2% |
| 23 | Honolulu | Waikiki, Ala Moana | 56.1% | 43.3% |
| 37 | Honolulu | Mililani, Waipio Gentry | 56% | 43.6% |
| 32 | Honolulu | Pearlridge, Aiea, Pearl Harbor | 54.8% | 44.7% |
| 10 | Maui | Lahaina, Kapalua,Kihei | 54.7% | 44.3% |
| 41 | Honolulu | Waipahu, Village Park, Waikele | 54.6% | 44.8% |
| 18 | Honolulu | Niu Valley, Aina Haina, Kahala | 54.5% | 45.1% |
| 45 | Honolulu | Waianae, Makaha, Makua | 54.3% | 44.6% |
| 7 | Hawaii | N. Kona, S. Kohala | 54.3% | 44.8% |
| 49 | Honolulu | Maunawili, Enchanted Lake, Kaneohe | 54.2% | 45.1% |
| 11 | Maui | Makena, Wailea, Kihei | 54.1% | 44.9% |
| 17 | Honolulu | Kalama Valley, Hawaii Kai | 54.1% | 45.5% |
| 38 | Honolulu | Mililani, Mililani Mauka | 53.4% | 46.1% |
| 50 | Honolulu | Kailua, Kaneohe Bay | 53% | 46.4% |
| 47 | Honolulu | Laie, Kaaawa, Kaneohe | 52.9% | 46.6% |
| 44 | Honolulu | Honokai Hale, Nanakuli, Lualualei, Maili | 51.7% | 47.6% |
| 6 | Hawaii | N. Kona, Keauhou, Kailua-Kona | 51.3% | 47.8% |
| 43 | Honolulu | Ewa Beach, Iroquois Point, Puuloa | 49.8% | 49.7% |
| 46 | Honolulu | North Shore, Schofield, Kunia | 49.6% | 49.6% |
| 40 | Honolulu | Royal Kunia, Makakilo, Kapolei, Kalaeloa | 47.1% | 52.3% |
Source: Civil Beat analysis of election results
Hawaii House district numbers can be seen on this map. They are the black numbers not inside a box. The numbers inside boxes are Senate districts. The pink numbers are U.S. congressional districts.
Source: Hawaii Office of Elections
The data analysis also showed that Abercrombie performed almost exactly the same in absentee voting (58.8 percent) as in election day precinct voting (58 percent).
