WASHINGTON — A Monmouth University Poll released Wednesday spells more bad news for U.S. Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, a Democrat who’s running a campaign for president.

The poll, conducted Jan. 3 to Jan. 7, pegged Gabbard’s support at 4% among 404 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire.

That means for the second time in two months Gabbard will almost certainly fail to qualify for the Democratic National Committee debate stage.

Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard speech to Honolulu City Council.

Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard is poised to miss another presidential debate due to her low poll numbers.

Cory Lum/Civil Beat

The DNC’s rules state that in order for candidates to participate they need to hit at least 5% support in four qualifying polls or 7% in two polls conducted in the early primary states of Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina or Nevada from Nov. 14 to Jan. 10.

The DNC rules state candidates must also show that they’ve received campaign contributions from at least 225,000 unique donors.

According to polling and donor data tracked by Politico, Gabbard so far has failed to meet either threshold. In fact, she has yet to hit 5% support in a single qualifying poll. 

So far, only five candidates have qualified for the January debate, which is hosted by CNN and the Des Moines Register. Those candidates include former Vice President Joe Biden, former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg, U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota, U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren.

It’s unclear whether Gabbard would even participate if she qualified.

The congresswoman said in December that she would skip that month’s debate even if she met the DNC’s polling threshold, saying she would instead choose to “spend that precious time” meeting with voters in New Hampshire and South Carolina.

Since announcing her campaign, Gabbard has struggled to break through on the national stage. Her national polling average, according to Real Clear Politics, is 2.3%.

She typically polls better in New Hampshire, where she now lives in an effort to bolster her campaign.

Gabbard’s Real Clear Politics polling average in the Granite State is 4.3%. The data also shows the congresswoman eclipsed the 5% mark in New Hampshire on several occasions, although not every poll was considered as part of the DNC’s debate qualifications.

The new Monmouth University Poll, which has a margin of error of 4.9%, shows the race in New Hampshire appears to be a contest between four candidates: Buttigieg (20%), Biden (19%), Sanders (18%) and Warren (15%).

When voters were asked who they would vote for if only those four candidates appeared on the ballot, 5% said they would not vote for any of them. Half of those individuals identified themselves as Gabbard supporters.

Before you go . . .

During a crisis like this, it’s more important than ever to dig beyond the news, to figure out what government policies mean for ordinary citizens and how those policies were put together.

For the first time, Civil Beat has become a seven-days-per-week news operation, publishing new stories and a new edition each Saturday and Sunday as well as weekdays.

This is perhaps the biggest, most consequential story our reporters will ever cover. And at no other time in Civil Beat’s history have we relied on your support more. Please consider supporting Civil Beat by making a tax-deductible gift.

About the Author